Morgan Stanley Upgrades Robinhood as Event Contract Revenue Outruns Crypto
Morgan Stanley upgrades Robinhood to Overweight and lifts its target to $150, citing $156 million in Q2 event-contract revenue that outpaced crypto and equities.
Colin Goldman
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New Jersey Officially Asks Supreme Court to Decide Who Regulates Sports Event Contracts
New Jersey asked the Supreme Court to decide whether CFTC-registered sports event contracts override state gambling laws after federal appeals courts split, putting Kalshi’s nationwide model in the justices’ path.
Polymarket $21 Billion Valuation Takes Shape as Donald Trump Jr.’s Capital Firm Leads $1 Billion Funding Round
1789 Capital is leading a $1 billion Polymarket round at a $21 billion valuation, adding about $300 million as Donald Trump Jr.’s firm deepens its stake.
Polymarket Intelligence Chief Says Midterm Election Surveillance Systems Can Flag Anomalous Trading
Polymarket’s new intelligence chief says midterm election surveillance is already live, citing machine learning, wallet tracking, and more than 100 law-enforcement referrals as political markets heat up.
Why We Should Reward Research and Informed Trading, And Not View Prediction Market Winners As Cheats
Prediction markets work when they pay for genuine research and informed trading. Treating every information edge as misconduct blurs theft with analysis and weakens the public price signal those markets exist to produce.
How High-Stakes Prediction Market Disputes Are Forcing Clearer Resolution Rules and Stronger Objective Truth Standards
High-stakes prediction market disputes over contested events are forcing platforms to adopt clearer resolution rules and more objective truth standards, turning ambiguity into sharper, more auditable criteria for establishing what actually happened.
Opinion: How Ordinary People and Businesses Can Use Prediction Markets to Hedge Against Financial Uncertainty
Prediction markets now let ordinary people and businesses hedge economic swings, climate risks, and policy shifts with capital-efficient event contracts—offering precise protection once limited to large institutions and traditional derivatives.
Fixing Prediction Markets: Unlocking Collective Intelligence Without the Sports Betting and Market Integrity Concerns
Prediction markets can deliver superior collective intelligence, yet current excesses in war bets and insider trading threaten their promise. Smart reforms—bans, stronger rules, and liquidity supports—restore the original vision.
Opinion: Prediction Markets Force Skin-in-the-Game Accountability and Democratize Truth-Seeking
Prediction markets demand real money behind forecasts, holding pundits accountable where media narratives face no cost. By aggregating capital-weighted knowledge, they deliver sharper signals and democratize reliable truth-seeking for better policy decisions.
Opinion: How Prediction Markets Can Aggregate Overlooked Local Knowledge for Stronger Community Planning
Prediction markets surface overlooked resident insights on neighborhood public safety, housing supply, and school performance, delivering continuous signals that traditional planning models miss and enabling more responsive community decisions overall.