AGA projects a flat $29.5 billion NFL sports-betting season, blaming sports event contracts for diverted handle, lost tax revenue, and the first stall since PASPA fell.
The NFL renewed DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics—and still shut Kalshi and Polymarket out—while sending a new letter demanding “objectionable” football contracts come down before kickoff.
Prospect Markets signed a binding Crypto.com and OG deal to offer U.S. sports event contracts, aiming to go live in Q3 before NFL kickoff and the NBA season.
Kalshi sealed a last-minute exclusive US Open partnership after qualifying, locking rivals out of venue and ESPN ads as traders already priced Sabalenka at 23% with $1.5 million in.
Kalshi seals exclusive multi-year brand deals with five MLB teams, including Dodgers naming rights and LED signage, as baseball trading volume surges 36x year over year on the platform.
Kalshi self-certified the first event contracts focused on NBA G League overtime with the CFTC, targeting the league’s unique seven-point target-score format and opening developmental basketball markets to traders.
Traders have staked more than $5.69 billion on the World Cup final across Kalshi and Polymarket, invigorating volumes including a June when total platform trades topped $50 billion for the first time.
Traders on Kalshi have elevated Spain to a 57.6% chance of winning the 2026 World Cup, outpacing Argentina as the tournament reaches its decisive final stages amid surging market volumes.
Traders have driven prediction market volume for the 2026 FIFA World Cup to a record $5.81 billion across 52 contracts, with France holding a 39% chance of winning the title.
Polymarket has rolled out its Combos feature, allowing traders to bundle multiple legs into single high-payout positions as trading volumes climb on Norway versus England and other World Cup fixtures.
