Kalshi’s proposed S&P 500 perpetual futures remain unapproved, with US500PERP still marked “Approval Pending” even as some outlets claimed a CFTC clearance the public product record does not show.
Kalshi’s crypto event-contract volume rose from $337 million in January to about $7.5 billion by August, led by 15-minute Bitcoin contracts and a shift Robinhood’s chief executive says could sideline sports.
Polymarket has taken $77,507 in positions on whether HSBC, Lloyds, and other major lenders fail by year-end. A British MP and Treasury committee member warns a fast jump in those odds could fuel bank runs.
Kalshi’s proposed S&P 500 perpetual futures remain unapproved, with US500PERP still marked “Approval Pending” even as some outlets claimed a CFTC clearance the public product record does not show.
Rep. Don Davis filed a bill Monday that would fine federal candidates at least $10,000 for trading contracts on their own elections, after Kalshi suspended his opponent Laurie Buckhout and penalized her $2,589.96.
U.S. elections dominate prediction market contracts ahead of the midterms. But a full week before the midterms, Israel holds a…
Kalshi’s crypto event-contract volume rose from $337 million in January to about $7.5 billion by August, led by 15-minute Bitcoin contracts and a shift Robinhood’s chief executive says could sideline sports.
Polymarket has taken $77,507 in positions on whether HSBC, Lloyds, and other major lenders fail by year-end. A British MP and Treasury committee member warns a fast jump in those odds could fuel bank runs.
This beginner’s guide shows traders how to turn live prices into probabilities, compare odds, and spot the gap after spreads and fees.
CBS News is placing Kalshi contract prices beside its own midterm polling, calling the company its prediction market sponsor. Traders’ odds now share the screen with the Battleground Tracker.
Kalshi told the CFTC it will end its Volume Incentive Program on October 13, nearly a year early, days after repeated $5,500 ether perpetual trades drew public scrutiny. The filing gives no reason.
Polymarket traders put an Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026, at 82%, with November near 60% and October near 3%, as a leaked prospectus details a $2 trillion target and $518 billion in compute commitments.
Two CFTC rulemakings that would define event contracts as swaps, while excluding casino-style gambling products, remain under White House review as appeals keep testing who controls those contracts.
