Politics

The Georgia U.S. Senate race on prediction markets shows Democrat John Ossoff with far higher odds to win in November than a recent Fox News poll does.

Outcry has arisen of late over prediction markets offering contracts on tragedies or unfortunate global events such as wars, assassinations,…

Gavin Newsom’s 2028 presidential odds crashed to an all-time low of 12% this week on prediction markets, as traders reacted to sliding polls and mounting headwinds.

Washington Post analysis shows why election prediction markets deliver strong value even when individual forecasts miss. Trader probabilities demonstrated impressive calibration across dozens of primaries, offering reliable signals amid uncertainty.

Traders are already pricing a fiercely competitive 2028 presidential race, with JD Vance, Marco Rubio, and Gavin Newsom locked in tight contention more than two years before voters head to the polls.

Traders are flooding global election markets with millions as Peru’s tense runoff, France’s 2027 showdown, and pivotal votes in Turkey and Venezuela ignite record volumes and razor-sharp probability shifts.

Traders are flooding California politics markets as Karen Bass holds a commanding lead for LA mayor reelection while Xavier Becerra dominates the race to succeed Gavin Newsom ahead of the June 2 primary.

Prediction markets reveal a razor-close Texas Senate battle as Ken Paxton holds a narrow 55-58% edge over James Talarico, with trading volumes surging into millions after the explosive runoff victory.

Traders flooded prediction markets with hundreds of millions as US-Iran permanent peace deal odds surged on fresh Trump signals and ceasefire extensions. Volumes hit records while oil prices plunged.

Trading volumes are exploding as prediction markets price Democrats with an 81% chance of flipping the House and Republicans clinging to a narrow 52% edge for Senate control in the 2026 midterms.