Who Captures the Information Rent in Prediction Markets?
Prediction markets sell a public forecast. The surplus from speed, automation, and private knowledge still flows to a sliver of accounts, turning civic odds into a quiet transfer of money.
Colin Goldman
Read Full News
Morgan Stanley Upgrades Robinhood as Event Contract Revenue Outruns Crypto
Morgan Stanley upgrades Robinhood to Overweight and lifts its target to $150, citing $156 million in Q2 event-contract revenue that outpaced crypto and equities.
New Jersey Officially Asks Supreme Court to Decide Who Regulates Sports Event Contracts
New Jersey asked the Supreme Court to decide whether CFTC-registered sports event contracts override state gambling laws after federal appeals courts split, putting Kalshi’s nationwide model in the justices’ path.
Polymarket $21 Billion Valuation Takes Shape as Donald Trump Jr.’s Capital Firm Leads $1 Billion Funding Round
1789 Capital is leading a $1 billion Polymarket round at a $21 billion valuation, adding about $300 million as Donald Trump Jr.’s firm deepens its stake.
Polymarket Intelligence Chief Says Midterm Election Surveillance Systems Can Flag Anomalous Trading
Polymarket’s new intelligence chief says midterm election surveillance is already live, citing machine learning, wallet tracking, and more than 100 law-enforcement referrals as political markets heat up.
How Professional Traders Hedge Prediction Market Positions
Prediction markets have moved from niche curiosity to serious trading venues and with real money on the line, risk management…
Best Times to Enter Prediction Markets for Maximum Value
If you’ve ever watched the odds on an election, a sports final, or an economic forecast swing wildly in a…
When NOT to Buy YES Contracts: 8 Traps That Cost Prediction Market Traders Money
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket let you trade directly on real-world outcomes through YES/NO contracts. A YES contract pays…
Reading the Fine Print: Prediction Market Resolution Rules Criteria
What Are Resolution Criteria? Resolution criteria are the exact rules that determine how a prediction market settles — who decides…
Fractional Kelly Betting for Prediction Markets: A Practical Sizing Guide
Finding an edge is only half the job. The other half is deciding how much to actually bet — and…
- 1
- 2