How Professional Traders Hedge Prediction Market Positions
Prediction markets have moved from niche curiosity to serious trading venues and with real money on the line, risk management…
Basics
Useful information about prediction markets basics.
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Tribal Casinos Lose Ground as Prediction Markets Capture More Traders and Revenue
As prediction markets lure traders away from tribal casinos, revenue once funding community services and jobs is draining fast, igniting legal fights over regulatory fairness and tribal sovereignty in gaming.
Judge Blocks Kalshi Event Contracts in Washington State Citing Breaches of State Gambling Laws
A federal judge has issued a preliminary injunction blocking Kalshi event contracts in the state, citing violations of gambling laws. Traders now encounter access restrictions as the platform adjusts operations.
Best Times to Enter Prediction Markets for Maximum Value
If you’ve ever watched the odds on an election, a sports final, or an economic forecast swing wildly in a…
When NOT to Buy YES Contracts: 8 Traps That Cost Prediction Market Traders Money
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket let you trade directly on real-world outcomes through YES/NO contracts. A YES contract pays…
Reading the Fine Print: Prediction Market Resolution Rules Criteria
What Are Resolution Criteria? Resolution criteria are the exact rules that determine how a prediction market settles — who decides…
Fractional Kelly Betting for Prediction Markets: A Practical Sizing Guide
Finding an edge is only half the job. The other half is deciding how much to actually bet — and…
How to Build a Base Rate Before You Bet on Any Prediction Market
Before you ever look at what a prediction market is pricing, you need your own number to compare it against….
Michael Burry Directs Massive Capital into Online Gambling Stocks While Avoiding Prediction Market Platforms
Michael Burry, famous as the 2008 housing market short seller featured in the film The Big Short, is now turning rather positive on sports betting stocks.
10 Common Mistakes New Traders Make (And How to Avoid Them)
All new traders lose money along the way. That is not a scare tactic, it’s the nature of learning curves….