Sports prediction market volume hit $2.64 billion as MLB games such as White Sox versus Red Sox drew millions and NFL preseason trading accelerated sharply ahead of the regular season.
Kalshi partners with Nasdaq for multi-year real-time surveillance technology, bolstering detection of insider trading and market abuse amid regulatory scrutiny while scaling oversight for growing volumes and CFTC compliance.
Prediction markets surface overlooked resident insights on neighborhood public safety, housing supply, and school performance, delivering continuous signals that traditional planning models miss and enabling more responsive community decisions overall.
AI models reviewing Kalshi’s next James Bond odds price-blind fade favorite Callum Turner and instead favor an unknown actor over any current A-lister, creating a sharp split with traders.
Traders on Kalshi now assign an 87% chance that Grand Theft Auto VI launches before December 2026, a figure closely matched by six AI models scoring the same contracts blind.
Trump Media and Crypto.com ended plans for prediction market integration on Truth Social, shifting to a marketing partnership and canceling a $6.42 billion CRO deal to prioritize the TAE merger.
Kalshi partners with independent AI tool Blanket, letting small business owners describe operational risks in plain language and receive targeted event contract recommendations for practical hedging on the regulated exchange.
Polymarket replaces single-price snapshots with TWAP settlements in short-dated crypto markets after researchers exposed a five-second exploit that cost traders $8.2 million, pairing the change with $1 million rewards.
Prediction markets allowing wagers on clinical trial outcomes and FDA drug approvals draw sharp criticism from patients and researchers who warn of serious threats to integrity and human suffering.
In a pointed letter, the CFTC ordered prediction market firms to scrap American-style casino odds from displays and ads, clarifying the line between derivatives and wagering amid fierce legal challenges.
