Emerging climate prediction markets create direct financial incentives for accurate forecasting, encouraging traders to update beliefs with new data and fostering deeper public understanding of climate science than traditional messaging.
Polymarket has rolled out its Combos feature, allowing traders to bundle multiple legs into single high-payout positions as trading volumes climb on Norway versus England and other World Cup fixtures.
The more information available to a market, the more accurate that market will be. But what if that information is private or privileged and utilized for advantage by insiders?
Polymarket has submitted a key filing to become a futures commission merchant, opening doors to margin trading on event contracts. Traders could soon control larger positions with reduced upfront capital.
In a significant compliance move, Goldman Sachs bans employees from prediction market bets on finance, politics, and geopolitics while allowing only sports and entertainment trades to avoid conflicts of interest.
Kalshi is advancing regulatory talks to expand perpetual futures into metals, foreign exchange, and energy markets. The move builds on its successful crypto contracts and aims to give traders greater flexibility through indefinite holding and high leverage.
After years offshore, Polymarket has launched a campaign to re-enter the domestic market by strengthening compliance through key hires and influencer partnerships, aiming to rebuild trader trust amid rising volumes.
Michael Burry, famous as the 2008 housing market short seller featured in the film The Big Short, is now turning rather positive on sports betting stocks.
Kalshi’s Love Island markets are transforming trader demographics, drawing women at three times the rate of men and doubling the platform’s female trader base over the past year.
As prediction markets boom with billions in weekly volume, powerful whale traders are exploiting thin liquidity to manipulate outcomes, raising alarms about eroding trust in these forecasting tools.
