Hedgeye Asset Management files for HDEM and HREP ETFs, offering continuous exposure to Democratic and Republican electoral performance through event contracts and derivatives ahead of the midterms.
Industry silence ahead of the September 30 MiCA deadline risks locking DLT-based prediction markets into restrictive MiFID II rules, potentially ending broad European retail access for years to come.
Kalshi has taken a decisive step into traditional commodities by filing with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for approval to list perpetual futures contracts tied to the spot prices of gold, silver, and platinum.
Netflix drops Instadocs: The Prediction Games on July 26, interviewing Polymarket and Kalshi CEOs plus the CFTC head while probing World Cup volumes exceeding $5.6 billion and trader-driven risks.
Kalshi faces accusations of exploiting a child-protection bill to expand gaming contracts. Gaming lawyer Daniel Wallach warns of CFTC backdoors for sports-event deals amid founder donations and heavy lobbying efforts.
Prediction markets handle tens of billions in monthly trades under fragmented rules that let capital chase the lightest oversight. This regulatory arbitrage undermines the integrity of prices shaping key decisions.
Players’ Lounge users can now trade CFTC-regulated sports event contracts on NFL results and NBA props after partnering with ProphetX, expanding options for competitive gamers seeking real-world outcomes this week.
Kalshi launches its innovative Midterms Hub, combining real-time trading odds with polling averages, fundraising reports, and historical data to provide continuous, money-backed insights into every Senate, House, and gubernatorial contest.
Prediction markets turn collective betting into precise forecasts, but their transaction logs frequently uncover traders’ hidden beliefs and access to nonpublic details, highlighting critical privacy vulnerabilities in these growing platforms.
Prediction market companies have boosted federal lobbying spending to a record $1.84 million in the first quarter of 2026, up more than 60 percent amid mounting regulatory scrutiny from Congress.
