Traders had priced an 85%–89% chance of a quarter-point hike. The Fed delivered, then October and December contracts immediately began fighting over the next 25 basis points.
Polymarket launched a 2026 Midterms Hub that maps live Senate, House, and governor odds, letting traders track chamber control and Election Night returns as campaign news moves prices.
Kalshi took $9.6 billion of a record $10 billion non-sports week, leaving Polymarket with $344 million as Robinhood and other broker apps reroute where traders actually click.
Coinbase CFO Alesia Haas says prediction markets are among the firm’s fastest-growing products after hitting a $100 million annualized run rate and doubling since launch.
Tema’s DICE ETF lists with roughly 15% in private Kalshi and Polymarket stakes, offering public-market access to both platforms without holding event contracts still under SEC review.
World opened world.xyz to more than 1 million waitlisted traders, briefly crashing under the traffic, as Chainlink-powered Solana contracts move from Phantom into a standalone public venue.
A cluster of Polymarket wallets kept winning on KPMG-audited earnings contracts. Now investigators are examining a firm employee, and Friday’s tape is asking whether audit files leaked.
Kalshi is preparing to seek approval for perpetual futures on Tesla, Apple and Nvidia after crypto and metals perps surged, raising the stakes for 24/7 leveraged stock trading.
Polymarket named Warren Jenson its first CFO as Kalshi dominates August volume, pairing a $21 billion funding mark with a veteran hired to tighten capital strategy and reclaim liquidity.
Sydney Sweeney strips down for Novig’s “Just Sports” campaign, taking an equity stake as the racy football-week ad sparks buzz, backlash, and a direct shot at rival trading apps.
