Polymarket’s new intelligence chief says midterm election surveillance is already live, citing machine learning, wallet tracking, and more than 100 law-enforcement referrals as political markets heat up.
The CFTC ordered former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez to pay $172,539 and accept a three-year trading ban after using advance speech drafts to trade Kalshi mention contracts.
Young adults 18 to 21 have traded $5.4 billion on Kalshi this year, mostly in sports and parlays, reigniting the fight over whether event contracts should start at 21.
Kalshi and The Weather Company will settle climate contracts on official weather data and show live market odds in The Weather Channel app, as weather trading races toward $1.1 billion.
Kalshi urges the SEC to delay Cboe’s binary options on corporate key performance indicators, arguing that approval would settle open SEC-CFTC jurisdictional questions before the joint public review concludes.
Traders on Kalshi drove a sharp 47-point plunge in odds that the ABA will lose law school accreditation power, defying the Education Department’s recommendation in a rapid, counter-intuitive market move.
We’ve discussed on PolyPunter how prediction markets can be used by companies for improved internal forecasting. The market for predicting…
Tensions flared at the CFTC’s first Innovation Advisory Committee meeting as CME’s Terry Duffy clashed with Chair Selig and Kalshi’s Luana Lopes Lara over emerging self-certifications and mention market risks.
New research flags more than 150 Polymarket wallets for suspected trading on U.S. military secrets, revealing a 97.2% win rate and $8 million in profits that raise national security concerns.
PredictBay exits stealth with over $26.1 billion in paper volume and launches one-minute UP/DOWN markets on Sui’s DeepBook Predict, delivering sub-second settlement for rapid directional trading.
