Public.com launched AI agents that trade Kalshi event contracts and can trigger stock, options, or bond orders when implied probabilities cross rules members approve in advance.
Morgan Stanley will lead NEXTPredict’s institutional-capital panel as the first major bank to publicly back the summit, testing whether event contracts can outgrow sports volume and justify soaring private valuations.
More than $750 million is already trading on 2026 election contracts. This opinion argues those live odds are public information—and a civic dashboard campaigns can no longer ignore.
State prosecutors sued Polymarket US, calling sports event contracts unlicensed gambling and seeking a shutdown, restitution, and treble penalties as the company vowed to fight.
PitchBook values Kalshi at $30.4 billion, with a $42.1 billion upside if sports event contracts survive Supreme Court review—and a $22.8 billion floor if they do not.
Susquehanna grew its prediction-markets desk to 80 people and launched Predictions Cup, a free midterms trading contest where students vie for $30,000 without risking cash.
Texas leads Polymarket’s 2026 national title odds at 15% after stunning Ohio State, while Notre Dame slips in the early championship race heading into a brutal Week 4.
CFTC staff warn that mention markets—contracts on what someone says, attends, or does—carry heightened manipulation risk and may be listed only after exchanges meet a far stricter review.
Kevin Costner is opening Dunbar Ranch for a closed retreat of gaming chiefs, tribal leaders, and prediction-market operators as sports event contracts race toward a Supreme Court showdown.
Kalshi and Polymarket diverged by 6.5 points Tuesday on FIDE Olympiad hosts and Ciro Gomes, as six-round standings and conflicting polls left traders marking two prices for one outcome.
