Two Polymarket Traders Bet $1.5 Million Against CLARITY Act Passage in Calendar Year 2026
Two new Polymarket wallets put nearly $1.5 million on the CLARITY Act missing 2026, slashing passage odds to 14% as a September Senate cloture test looms.
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Kalshi Partners With The Weather Channel As Weather Prediction Markets Surge Toward $1.1 Billion
Kalshi and The Weather Company will settle climate contracts on official weather data and show live market odds in The Weather Channel app, as weather trading races toward $1.1 billion.
Sports Prediction Markets Legal Status August 2026: Live Access, Restrictions, and Ongoing Legal Challenges
As sports prediction markets surge past traditional sportsbooks in volume, traders face a complex U.S. map of open access, contested litigation, and outright blocks in key states as of August 2026.
How High-Stakes Prediction Market Disputes Are Forcing Clearer Resolution Rules and Stronger Objective Truth Standards
High-stakes prediction market disputes over contested events are forcing platforms to adopt clearer resolution rules and more objective truth standards, turning ambiguity into sharper, more auditable criteria for establishing what actually happened.
Kalshi Presses SEC to Delay Cboe Binary KPI Options Approval Over Regulatory Boundary Questions
Kalshi urges the SEC to delay Cboe’s binary options on corporate key performance indicators, arguing that approval would settle open SEC-CFTC jurisdictional questions before the joint public review concludes.
Kalshi Lands Exclusive Multi-Year Brand Partnerships with Five MLB Teams
Kalshi seals exclusive multi-year brand deals with five MLB teams, including Dodgers naming rights and LED signage, as baseball trading volume surges 36x year over year on the platform.
ABA Accreditation Odds on Kalshi Plunge 47 Points After Education Department Recommendation
Traders on Kalshi drove a sharp 47-point plunge in odds that the ABA will lose law school accreditation power, defying the Education Department’s recommendation in a rapid, counter-intuitive market move.
Peacock App Downloads Forecast Surges on Kalshi as Late-August Content Slate Sparks Rally
We’ve discussed on PolyPunter how prediction markets can be used by companies for improved internal forecasting. The market for predicting…
Opinion: How Ordinary People and Businesses Can Use Prediction Markets to Hedge Against Financial Uncertainty
Prediction markets now let ordinary people and businesses hedge economic swings, climate risks, and policy shifts with capital-efficient event contracts—offering precise protection once limited to large institutions and traditional derivatives.
Kalshi Self-Certifies NBA G League Overtime Contracts with CFTC
Kalshi self-certified the first event contracts focused on NBA G League overtime with the CFTC, targeting the league’s unique seven-point target-score format and opening developmental basketball markets to traders.