As of March 11, 2026, these are the top 10 markets by the past 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket.
General advice: Traders should monitor real-time volume for entry signals, as sudden surges often precede resolutions and/or major breaking news that all but guarantees outcomes. Geopolitical and sports markets, in particular, exhibit volatility tied to external events such as matches or policy announcements. Opportunities abound for informed positions. Reasons for changes include media coverage, expert analyses, and crowd wisdom adjustments. Use this data to refine your portfolio—consider diversifying across categories to mitigate risks from single-event dependencies.
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by 2027
- Fed decision in March?
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs.Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by the end of March?
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by 2027
This prediction market focuses on whether a major geopolitical disruption occurs before 2027, attracting traders keen on assessing international tensions and their implications. The leading ‘Yes’ option trades at $0.9975, suggesting a near-certain 99.75% probability, while ‘No’ stands at $0.0025. Recent market movements show a 0.015 increase over the past day, 0.03 in the week, and 0.085 over the month, indicating growing trader confidence in affirmative outcomes. Factors driving prices may include escalating diplomatic disputes and energy supply concerns, prompting shifts in sentiment. Traders can engage by betting on ‘Yes’ for potential high returns if events unfold as anticipated, or ‘No’ to capitalize on stability expectations, offering balanced opportunities in this high-volume event outcome market.
Fed decision in March?
Centered on the upcoming monetary policy announcement, this market evaluates potential interest rate adjustments, drawing economic enthusiasts and investors tracking macroeconomic signals. Key options include no change at $0.9885 (98.85% probability), a 25 bps decrease to $0.0075, a 50 bps decrease to $0.0025, and a 25 bps increase to $0.0025. Recent changes reveal a 0.0485 weekly rise, indicating no change, alongside declines in cut probabilities, such as -0.037 weekly for a 25 bps cut. Influences like inflation reports and growth data appear to sway prices, fostering active trading. Participants can bet on rate cuts for upside if easing signals emerge, or on stability/increases to leverage contrary views, providing diverse strategies in this pivotal economic prediction market.
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC
This sports betting market captures the excitement of a high-profile soccer matchup, with traders wagering on match outcomes amid intense fan interest and analysis of team form. Dominant options feature Club Atlético de Madrid winning at $0.9995 (99.95% probability), drawing at $0.0005, and Tottenham Hotspur FC winning at $0.0005. With the event recently concluded, prices reflect near-resolution certainty, though no specific recent changes are noted beyond volume surges. Drivers include player performances, tactical strategies, and injury updates, fueling rapid sentiment adjustments. Bettors can position on the favored win for low-risk plays or explore underdog outcomes like a draw or opposing victory for higher potential payouts, making this a compelling arena for sports prediction market enthusiasts.
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by the end of March?
Targeting commodity price thresholds, this market appeals to those monitoring energy sector volatility and global supply dynamics. Prominent contracts include hitting a high of $100 at $0.6945 (69.45% probability), $110 at $0.3785, $120 at $0.305, a low of $65 at $0.095, and a low of $50 at $0.0165. While specific recent shifts are not detailed, high trading volume suggests responsive pricing to news. Potential drivers encompass production cuts, demand fluctuations, and geopolitical events impacting supply chains. Traders might opt for high-side bets if bullish on price surges due to constraints, or for low-side positions anticipating downturns from oversupply, enabling varied approaches in this commodity-focused event-outcome betting landscape.
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This forward-looking political market gauges candidate viability in upcoming nomination races, engaging traders interested in party dynamics and leadership prospects. The ‘Yes’ contract prices at $0.0245 (2.45% probability), with ‘No’ at $0.9755. Recent fluctuations include a -0.0005 daily dip, +0.0025 weekly gain, and -0.0065 monthly decline, hinting at mixed sentiment. Influences such as policy stances, public appearances, and polling data likely contribute to these movements. Bettors can take ‘Yes’ positions for substantial returns if momentum builds, or ‘No’ positions for steadier plays betting against ascension, presenting objective opportunities in long-tail keyword searches, such as Republican nomination prediction markets.
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Amid anticipation for international soccer’s premier event, this market evaluates a nation’s championship odds, attracting sports bettors analyzing team strengths and tournament paths. ‘Yes’ trades at $0.0035 (0.35% probability), ‘No’ at $0.9965. Price changes show a consistent -0.001 across hours, days, weeks, and months, indicating slight downward pressure. Factors such as squad development, qualifying results, and coaching strategies may drive these adjustments. Traders could pursue ‘Yes’ for high-reward scenarios if underdog narratives emerge, or ‘No’ to align with favored expectations, offering enticing avenues in FIFA World Cup outcome betting and high-volume sports prediction markets.
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Exploring political futures, this market assesses a figure’s potential rise in party ranks, appealing to those following electoral trends and candidate profiles. The ‘Yes’ option is at $0.0115 (1.15% probability), ‘No’ at $0.9885. Recent trends feature +0.002 daily, +0.002 weekly, and +0.003 monthly increases, suggesting building optimism. Factors such as governance records, endorsements, and voter appeal likely influence pricing. Participants may bet ‘Yes’ to capture gains from positive developments, or ‘No’ for positions against nomination success, delivering professional insights into presidential nomination event markets and 24-hour trading volume leaders.
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This speculative political market examines dynasty influences in nominations, drawing interest from traders eyeing family legacies and party shifts. ‘Yes’ stands at $0.0085 (0.85% probability), ‘No’ at $0.9915. Although specific recent changes are limited, robust volume indicates active engagement. Possible drivers encompass media coverage, political alliances, and public sentiment toward familial candidates. Bettors have options to wager on ‘Yes’ for leveraged returns if traction grows, or ‘No’ to bet on alternative frontrunners, providing objective entry points in high-stakes Republican presidential nomination prediction markets.
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Focusing on controversial political figures, this market probes nomination prospects amid evolving party narratives, enticing analysts of ideological battles. The ‘Yes’ contract is priced at $0.0125 (1.25% probability), ‘No’ at $0.9875. A +0.005 monthly change points to gradual upward momentum. Key drivers might include legislative actions, scandals, and base support levels, all affecting odds. Traders can select ‘Yes’ for potential profits from rising popularity, or ‘No’ to position against challenges, fostering diverse strategies in event outcome market trading and long-term political betting.
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This emerging candidate market highlights diversity in political aspirations, appealing to traders monitoring rising stars and demographic shifts. ‘Yes’ trades at $0.0085 (0.85% probability), ‘No’ at $0.9915. With a +0.003 monthly adjustment, it reflects subtle positive reevaluations. Factors such as congressional achievements, media exposure, and voter demographics could be driving prices. Options allow betting on ‘Yes’ for amplified returns if breakthroughs occur, or ‘No’ for bets on established contenders, offering professional avenues in prediction market analysis and high-volume nomination event outcomes.
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Reminder: Engaging in prediction markets can be highly addictive, similar to gambling, potentially leading to financial loss, emotional distress, and compulsive behavior. Bet responsibly, set limits, and seek professional help by calling 1-800-MY-RESET if you notice if you experience signs of addiction, such as chasing losses or neglecting responsibilities.
