Retail brokerages are racing to integrate CFTC-regulated event contracts, giving traders direct access to binary outcomes on economic data, commodities, and crypto price levels. Late July 2026 saw a wave of activity, as trading firms now view these instruments as core products to serve their customer base rather than as novel experiments.
tastytrade joined Robinhood and moomoo in offering prediction-market contracts through their existing interfaces. Plus500 continues expanding its Kalshi partnership, while Binance.US prepares a formal license application for its own exchange. These moves let traders who access these firms layer event contracts alongside stocks, options, and futures within familiar accounts, online portals, and apps.
As prediction market sector volumes climb, the integrations create new strategies around defined-risk payoffs that settle to reflect the results of clear Yes-or-No futures contracts.
tastytrade Rolls Out Dedicated Prediction Markets Screen
On July 27, 2026, tastytrade launched its prediction markets offering using Apex Fintech Solutions’ turnkey futures commission merchant infrastructure. The Chicago-based brokerage became the first to go live on Apex’s system, enabling 24-hour trading of event contracts in segregated accounts.
The initial lineup targets instruments traders already follow: equity indices, Treasury yields, the VIX, the U.S. dollar, and rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan. Economic releases such as CPI, PCE, nonfarm payrolls, GDP, and ISM data appear alongside energy and metals contracts for crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver, and copper.
Crypto contracts include Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. The platform deliberately skips sports outcomes to focus on macro and market catalysts. Pete Mulmat, Head of Brokerage at tastytrade, noted that the design lets traders “trade the event, not the reaction,” with defined risk and clear payoffs even when traditional markets are closed.
Customers activate the feature in account preferences, unlocking a dedicated Predict screen on web and mobile. Contracts span hourly to yearly timeframes. By using Apex for clearing and custody, tastytrade avoided building futures technology from scratch and accelerated its market entry.
Robinhood and moomoo Build on Early Momentum
Robinhood operates through multiple channels, including its Rothera exchange launched with Susquehanna. Rothera has processed more than 3.5 billion contracts, while the brokerage also routes flow through Kalshi and ForecastEx.
Bernstein projects Robinhood’s prediction market revenue will grow at a 64% compound annual rate through 2028 and could reach $1.7 billion. The firm expects the second quarter of 2026 to be the first period in which event-contract revenue overtakes crypto trading for the company.
moomoo entered via a June 2026 Kalshi partnership that brings contracts on Federal Reserve decisions, inflation prints, elections, and major cultural events into its platform. The contracts sit alongside equities, options, and ETFs in a single account.
Plus500 Deepens Kalshi Collaboration
Plus500 launched event contracts on its U.S. futures platform in February 2026 through Kalshi, covering economic indicators, financial events, and geopolitical outcomes. Clearing occurs directly via Kalshi Klear LLC.
In late June, the firm added sports event-based contracts spanning NFL, NBA, MLB, and other leagues. CEO David Zruia called the expansion a milestone that places Plus500 “at the heart of the U.S. retail market.”
Commissions start at $0.01 per contract. Combined with institutional-grade execution and risk management, the low-cost structure targets traders seeking exposure to federally regulated prediction markets. Plus500’s earlier clearing role supporting CME Group and FanDuel contracts further diversifies its channels into the category.
Investor reaction to the announcements reflected confidence that event contracts can become a meaningful revenue stream alongside the firm’s multi-asset offering.
Binance.US Prepares August CFTC Filing
Binance.US is preparing a direct entry. CEO Stephen Gregory confirmed at the Rare Evo conference that the exchange will apply for a Designated Contract Market license from the CFTC in August 2026.
A successful designation would let Binance.US list and clear its own event contracts under federal oversight. Gregory framed the application as part of a broader strategy that also includes lower fees and potential perpetual contracts.
The timing coincides with heightened broker activity, signaling that crypto-native platforms see the same opportunity traditional brokerages are already capturing. Approval would enable Yes-or-No contracts inside the existing Binance.US interface and access to their 320 million registered accounts without relying solely on third-party partners.
The planned filing adds another major name to the list of those seeking formal CFTC authorization and further broadens the range of regulated options for retail traders.
What These Expansions Mean for Everyday Traders
The sequence of launches collapses the distance between traditional brokerage accounts and event-contract trading. Customers enable the prediction market features inside accounts they already fund, eliminating the need for separate platforms, additional registrations, or KYC processes.
Defined-risk binary payoffs appeal to traders who want clarity on maximum loss and potential return. Because contracts settle to a simple Yes-or-No outcome, position sizing becomes more straightforward than continuous futures or complex options chains.
Liquidity will deepen as more brokers route trading volume to the same exchanges, improving price discovery and reducing slippage. The emphasis on macro, commodities, and crypto catalysts keeps the product within the financial markets conversation that traders already follow and expect from these brokers.
References
Expect this brokerage industry movement into event contract offerings to continue expanding. This is the future. As of today.
- tastytrade Prediction Markets page
- CFOtech: tastytrade launches prediction markets with Apex support
- Casino.org: tastytrade Forges Into Prediction Markets
- Finance Magnates: tastytrade Follows Robinhood, moomoo into CFTC Regulated Prediction Markets
- The Block: Bernstein lifts Robinhood target
- The Block: Robinhood in talks with Crypto.com
- CoinDesk via Google News: Moomoo expands into prediction markets through Kalshi partnership
- Reuters: Plus500 expands into US prediction markets with Kalshi deal
- Investegate: Plus500 launches sports event-based contracts
- The Block: Binance.US to apply for CFTC license
- Bloomberg: Binance.US Wants to Join Prediction Markets Race
- Finance Magnates: Inside the Prediction Markets – Brokers Double Down
