How I Find Mispriced Prediction Markets
If you’ve spent any time trading on Polymarket or Kalshi, you already know the pitch: prediction markets are supposed to…
Read Full News
Wyldfyre Aims to Be the Kalshi for Pricing Regional Wildfire Outcomes
A new platform called Wyldfyre lets traders price real-time wildfire risks across regions through paper trading today and real-money contracts soon. It promises crowd-sourced forecasting gains while igniting fierce ethical debates over profiting from disaster.
Solana Prediction Market, World.xyz, Goes Live in Phantom Wallet
Solana’s World.xyz has launched a fully on-chain prediction market directly inside Phantom Wallet, powered by Chainlink oracles for instant settlements on Bitcoin prices and 2026 World Cup outcomes.
Nevada Court Denies Kalshi Emergency Motion, Sets Stage for Contempt Hearing Over Geofencing Violations
In a major blow, Kalshi’s emergency bid to dodge Nevada geofencing rules was denied, paving the way for a July 16 contempt hearing that could impose hefty sanctions on the platform.
Polymarket vs Reality: We Tracked 50 Markets to Resolution — Here’s the Unfiltered Data
Polymarket accuracy is often debated, as Polymarket calls itself “the world’s largest prediction market” — a real-time truth machine that…
Opinion: User-Created Opinion Markets Pave the Way for Advanced Collective Knowledge
User-created opinion markets are transforming forecasting by empowering anyone to launch tradable questions on niche events. Platforms like Manifold and Opinion aggregate dispersed insights into dynamic probabilities, promising sharper collective knowledge across business, science, and culture.
Zuckerberg Directs Meta Team to Build Arena App After Kalshi Acquisition Talks Collapse
Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg pursued acquiring Kalshi before directing development of Arena, a standalone AI-powered app for play-money event forecasting.
Prediction Market Purists Express Deep Concerns as Commercialization Prioritizes Volume Over Forecasting Integrity
As prediction markets surge in volume, longtime forecasting advocates warn that entertainment-driven trading risks diluting their power as tools for collective wisdom.
Gavin Newsom Presidential Odds Hit All-Time Low This Week on Prediction Markets
Gavin Newsom’s 2028 presidential odds crashed to an all-time low of 12% this week on prediction markets, as traders reacted to sliding polls and mounting headwinds.
LeBron James Next Team: Warriors Surge to Frontrunner on Prediction Markets
At the time of this writing, LeBron James has said goodbye to his former team, the Los Angeles Lakers, and…