Gavin Newsom Presidential Odds Hit All-Time Low This Week on Prediction Markets
Gavin Newsom’s 2028 presidential odds crashed to an all-time low of 12% this week on prediction markets, as traders reacted to sliding polls and mounting headwinds.
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Prediction Markets Nail Primary Election Picks According to Washington Post Study
Washington Post analysis shows why election prediction markets deliver strong value even when individual forecasts miss. Trader probabilities demonstrated impressive calibration across dozens of primaries, offering reliable signals amid uncertainty.
Vance, Rubio, and Newsom Continue Their Lead in Prediction Markets for the 2028 Presidential Winner
Traders are already pricing a fiercely competitive 2028 presidential race, with JD Vance, Marco Rubio, and Gavin Newsom locked in tight contention more than two years before voters head to the polls.
International Election Markets Surge on Polymarket
Traders are flooding global election markets with millions as Peru’s tense runoff, France’s 2027 showdown, and pivotal votes in Turkey and Venezuela ignite record volumes and razor-sharp probability shifts.
State of California and Los Angeles Election Prediction Markets Heat Up Day Before Primary
Traders are flooding California politics markets as Karen Bass holds a commanding lead for LA mayor reelection while Xavier Becerra dominates the race to succeed Gavin Newsom ahead of the June 2 primary.
Ken Paxton vs James Talarico for U.S. Senate Now Official, Political Prediction Markets Gear Up
Prediction markets reveal a razor-close Texas Senate battle as Ken Paxton holds a narrow 55-58% edge over James Talarico, with trading volumes surging into millions after the explosive runoff victory.
Trading Volumes Surge on U.S.-Iran Permanent Peace Deal Markets
Traders flooded prediction markets with hundreds of millions as US-Iran permanent peace deal odds surged on fresh Trump signals and ceasefire extensions. Volumes hit records while oil prices plunged.
U.S. Midterm Election Odds Surge on Prediction Markets; Democrats Eye Major Shifts in Congressional Control
Trading volumes are exploding as prediction markets price Democrats with an 81% chance of flipping the House and Republicans clinging to a narrow 52% edge for Senate control in the 2026 midterms.
Spencer Pratt Rocks L.A. Mayoral Election Prediction Markets
Incumbent Karen Bass holds a commanding 69% lead in mayoral election betting markets as reality star Spencer Pratt challenges at 26%, with traders committing over $20 million amid intense cultural clashes.
James Comer Launches Probe Into Insider Trading on Kalshi and Polymarket
House Oversight Chairman James Comer has launched a sweeping probe into alleged insider trading on Kalshi and Polymarket, demanding records by June 5 after traders appeared to profit from classified government information.